This came after a few key players were suspended or booted for “misusing school-issued funds” last fall. Something in the neighborhood of seven Gators were allegedly involved in a confrontation involving gamblers and BB guns (and a frying pan). So why isn’t there more energy emanating from Gainesville? This hire got a good grade from everyone who grades such things, but “Florida’s going to be back soon!” buzz - like what we saw from Scott Frost’s Nebraska hire - has been minimal. (They’ve only hit that mark twice in the last seven years.) On the field, this was a nearly risk-free hire. I would be floored if the Gators weren’t at least top-15 good soon. On paper, this is very likely to be at least a good hire for Florida. S&P+ ranking of fifth during his last three years as OC in Gainesville (2006-08) and has had an average ranking of 65.4 since. You know, like how how Florida’s offense had an average Off. He raised the bar significantly in Starkville.Īny further context you want to add is even friendlier. His Bulldogs finished ranked in the AP top 20 three times and won six bowls. In his nine seasons, it was 75.4 percent. In the 50 years before his arrival, MSU’s average percentile rating was 57 percent.
Mullen has nine years of not only P5 head coaching experience, but SEC head coaching experience.Īnd he led historical overachievement at Mississippi State. But neither had been a P5 head coach before. Hiring a coach with the right kind of experience: Granted, 2017’s strange collapse played a role in that figure, but you could say UF’s hires of Will Muschamp and Jim McElwain were average at best. The Gators had achieved at an elite level throughout most of the 1990s and 2000s, but had been at least solid before that.īasically, all Florida needs is a decent head coach in order to play at a top-15 level.ĭuring the seven seasons since, Florida’s average percentile rating in S&P+ is only 76.2 percent. If you recall standardized testing, that’s pretty good. Florida’s historical norms:įollowing the 2010 season, Florida’s 50-year average percentile rating in the S&P+ rankings was 84.7 percent. Those aren’t mind-blowing conclusions, but they’re instructive when thinking about Florida’s hire of Mullen.
Long ago at Football Outsiders, I took a look at whether any type of coach is more likely to succeed than any others.
Gator football games 2018 series#
That would be a nice start, though that might be asking too much in a potential Year Zero situation.īill C’s annual preview series of every FBS team in college football continues.
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